I mentioned last week with their win over Kansas that if Baylor could knock of Oklahoma State, I would see them with a better overall resume than Gonzaga and move them into the top spot. I am a man of my word and for the first time, there is a new number on team in my rankings.
Gonzaga is still the best overall team in my mind, and if the two teams faced off next week (yes, please), I still think I would pick the Zags in a close one. However, I try to rank based on resumes and Baylor continues to stay undefeated and rack up big wins while paying in a much more competitive conference.
There was a little bit of other movement in the top-10 as Big Ten teams continue to knock each other off and teams like Kansas and Tennessee found themselves on quite the down week with mutliple losses in a row.
It’s approaching the point in the year where the top 10 to 15 teams seem solidly ranked in the top-25 somewhere but it is getting difficult to determine what teams after that are worthy of holding down the last few spots in my rankings, especially since I try to keep resume in mind above anything else.
I have a new system for tracking teams and will use it to base a lot of my decisions. As the year goes on, I find that a lot of people get sucked into the most recent games and put a little too much weight on recent results sometimes. Because of this, and because I generally like objective data as much as possible, I’m going to use these metrics in my post as well as the basis for my thought process.
I use KenPom as my starting point and keep track of the top-50 overall teams and a few in others as I see fit. A key win in my rankings is defined as a top-50 win at home, a top-75 win on a neutral court, or a top-100 win on the road. I will try to record all losses for now, but will also denote bad losses in italics when necessary and those are just the opposite of the good wins. For instance, if a team loses to a team not in the top-50 at home, then it’s a “bad” loss. Same for a loss to a team outside of the top-100 anywhere.
1. Baylor (14-0)
Key Wins:
- Illinois on a neutral court by 13
- Iowa State on the road by 11
- Oklahoma at home by 15
- TCU on the road by 18
- Texas Tech on the road by 8
- Kansas at home by 8
- Oklahoma State on the road by 15
Losses:
- None
2. Gonzaga (15-0)
Key Wins:
- Kansas on a neutral court by 12
- Auburn on a neutral court by 23
- West Virginia on a neutral court by 5
- Iowa on a neutral court by 11
- Virginia on a neutral court by 23
- BYU at home by 17
- Saint Mary’s on the road by 14
** at homeLosses:**
- None
3. Villanova (10-1)
Key Wins:
- Arizona State on a neutral court by 9
- Texas on the road by 4
- Marquette on the road by 17
- Seton Hall at home by 2
Losses:
- Virginia Tech on a neutral court 8 in OT
4. Michigan (13-1)
Key Wins:
- Penn State at home by 4
- Maryland on the road by 11
- Minnesota at home by 25
- Wisconsin at home by 23
- Maryland at home by 24
- Purdue on the road by 17
Losses:
- Minnesota on the road 18
5. Texas (11-2)
Key Wins:
- Davidson on a neutral court by 2
- Indiana on a neutral court by 22
- North Carolina on a neutral court by 2
- Oklahoma State at home by 3
- Kansas on the road by 25
- West Virginia on the road by 2
Losses:
- Villanova at home 4
- Texas Tech at home 2
6. Alabama (13-3)
Key Wins:
- Providence on a neutral court by 17
- Tennessee on the road by 8
- Florida at home by 15
- Auburn on the road by 4
- Kentucky on the road by 20
- Arkansas at home by 31
- LSU on the road by 30
Losses:
- Stanford on a neutral court 18
- Clemson on a neutral court 8
- Western Kentucky at home 2
7. Iowa (12-3)
Key Wins:
- North Carolina at home by 13
- Purdue at home by 15
- Rutgers on the road by 2
- Maryland on the road by 22
- Minnesota at home by 15
- Northwestern on the road by 23
Losses:
- Gonzaga on a neutral court 11
- Minnesota on the road 7 in OT
- Indiana at home 12
8. Houston (13-1)
Key Wins:
- Texas Tech on a neutral court by 11
- UCF on the road by 9
- SMU on the road by 14
Losses:
- Tulsa on the road 1
9. Ohio State (12-4)
Key Wins:
- Notre Dame on the road by 5
- UCLA at home by 7
- Rutgers at home by 12
- Rutgers on the road by 11
- Illinois on the road by 6
- Wisconsin on the road by 12
Losses:
- Purdue on the road 7
- Northwestern on the road 1
- Minnesota on the road 17
- Purdue at home 2
10. Illinois (10-5)
Key Wins:
- Duke on the road by 15
- Minnesota at home by 27
- Penn State on the road by 17
- Indiana at home by 9
- Purdue at home by 11
- Northwestern on the road by 25
- Penn State at home by 14
Losses:
- Baylor on a neutral court 13
- Missouri on the road 3
- Rutgers on the road 3
- Maryland at home 3
- Ohio State at home 6
11. Texas Tech (11-4)
Key Wins:
- Oklahoma on the road by 2
- Iowa State on the road by 27
- Texas on the road by 2
Losses:
- Houston on a neutral court 11
- Kansas at home 1
- Oklahoma State at home 5 in OT
- Baylor at home 8
12. West Virginia (10-4)
Key Wins:
- VCU on a neutral court by 12
- Richmond at home by 16
- Oklahoma State on the road by 3
Losses:
- Gonzaga on a neutral court 5
- Kansas on the road 14
- Oklahoma on the road 4
- Texas at home 2
13. Virginia (10-2)
Key Wins:
- Notre Dame on the road by 9
- Boston College on the road by 12
- Clemson on the road by 35
Losses:
- San Francisco on a neutral court 1
- Gonzaga on a neutral court 23
14. Wisconsin (12-4)
Key Wins:
- Loyola Chicago at home by 14
- Michigan State on the road by 9
- Minnesota at home by 12
- Indiana at home by 7 in 2OT
- Rutgers on the road by 6
Losses:
- Marquette on the road 2
- Maryland at home 6
- Michigan on the road 23
- Ohio State at home 12
15. Creighton (11-4)
Key Wins:
- St. Johns on the road by 18
- Connecticut on the road by 2 in OT
- Xavier at home by 5
- Providence on the road by 2
- Seton Hall at home by 36
- Connecticut at home by 8
Losses:
- Kansas on the road 1
- Marquette at home 5
- Butler on the road 4 in OT
- Providence at home 4
16. Missouri (10-2)
Key Wins:
- Oregon on a neutral court by 8
- Wichita State on the road by 10
- Illinois at home by 3
- Arkansas on the road by 13
- Tennessee on the road by 9
Losses:
- Tennessee at home 20
- Mississippi State on the road 15
17. Kansas (10-5)
Key Wins:
- Kentucky on a neutral court by 3
- Creighton at home by 1
- Texas Tech on the road by 1
- West Virginia at home by 14
- TCU on the road by 29
- Oklahoma at home by 4
Losses:
- Gonzaga on a neutral court 12
- Texas at home 25
- Oklahoma State on the road 5
- Baylor on the road 8
- Oklahoma on the road 7
18. Tennessee (10-3)
Key Wins:
- Colorado at home by 9
- Missouri on the road by 20
- Arkansas at home by 5
Losses:
- Alabama at home 8
- Florida on the road 26
- Missouri at home 9
19. Florida State (9-2)
Key Wins:
- Indiana at home by 2 in OT
- Florida at home by 12
- North Carolina at home by 7
- Louisville on the road by 13
Losses:
- UCF at home 12
- Clemson on the road 10
20. Oklahoma (9-4)
Key Wins:
- TCU on the road by 4
- West Virginia at home by 4
- Kansas at home by 7
Losses:
- Xavier on the road 22
- Texas Tech at home 2
- Baylor on the road 15
- Kansas on the road 4
21. UCLA (12-3)
Key Wins:
- Colorado at home by 3
- Arizona State on the road by 6 in OT
- Arizona on the road by 5
Losses:
- San Diego State on the road 15
- Ohio State on the road 7
- Standford on the road 1
22. Oklahoma State (9-4)
Key Wins:
- Marquette on the road by 8
- Wichita State on the road by 3
- Texas Tech on the road by 5 in OT
- Kansas at home by 5
Losses:
- TCU at home 1
- Texas on the road 3
- West Virginia at home 3
- Baylor at home 15
23. Colorado (12-4)
Key Wins:
- USC on the road by 10
- Oregon at home by 7
- Utah on the road by 7
- Stanford at home by 13
Losses:
- Tennessee on the road 9
- Arizona on the road 14
- UCLA on the road 3
- Washington on the road 4
24. USC (12-3)
Key Wins:
- BYU on a neutral court by 26
- Arizona on the road by 14
- Arizona State on the road by 9
Losses:
- Connecticut on a neutral court 3
- Colorado at home 10
- Oregon State on the road 2
25. Purdue (11-6)
Key Wins:
- Ohio State at home by 7
- Maryland at home by 3
- Michigan State on the road by 1
- Indiana on the road by 12
- Penn State at home by 8
- Ohio State on the road by 2
Key Wins:
- Clemson on a neutral court 11
- Miami on the road 4
- Iowa on the road 15
- Rutgers on the road 5
- Illinois on the road 8
- Michigan at home 17
Also Under Consideration (Alphabetical)
Arizona, Arkansas, BYU, Connecticut, Duke, Florida, Indiana, Louisville, Loyola Chicago, LSU, Maryland, Michigan State, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oregon, Penn State, Rutgers, Saint Louis, San Diego State, Seton Hall, Stanford, Syracuse, Utah State, Virginia Tech, Xavier