This week Michigan looked like they were making a statement that they belonged in the top tier with Gonzaga and Baylor with their dominant win against Wisconsin. Then the Wolverines followed it up by losing to Minnesota on the road. Michigan still is a top team for sure, but I’m not sure a team will have the ability to fully join the top-2 for a while now that Michigan and Texas lost this week.
After not being in my Top 25 yet this year, Virginia makes a large jump up to 15th after they absolutely dominated Clemson on the road.
Alabama also made a large jump as they stayed undefeated in SEC play with a 20-point and 31-point win over Kentucky and Arkansas.
I’ve got a handful of Pac-12 teams towards the end of my rankings because they all have good records and have mostly been beating up on the worse teams in their conference. I don’t think all of them will stay in my rankings for long, but for now, it’s hard to tell who doesn’t really belong since they all have pretty comparable wins and few losses.
I have a new system for tracking teams and will use it to base a lot of my decisions. As the year goes on, I find that a lot of people get sucked into the most recent games and put a little too much weight on recent results sometimes. Because of this, and because I generally like objective data as much as possible, I’m going to use these metrics in my post as well as the basis for my thought process.
I use KenPom as my starting point and keep track of the top-50 overall teams and a few others as I see fit. A key win in my rankings is defined as a top-50 win at home, a top-75 win on a neutral court, or a top-100 win on the road. I will try to record all losses for now, but will also denote bad losses in italics when necessary and those are just the opposite of the good wins. For instance, if a team loses to a team not in the top-50 at home, then it’s a “bad” loss. Same for a loss to a team outside of the top-100 anywhere.
1. Gonzaga (14-0)
Key Wins:
- Kansas on a neutral court by 12
- Auburn on a neutral court by 23
- West Virginia on a neutral court by 5
- Iowa on a neutral court by 11
- Virginia on a neutral court by 23
- Saint Mary’s on the road by 14
Losses:
- None
2. Baylor (12-0)
Key Wins:
- Illinois on a neutral court by 13
- Iowa State on the road by 11
- Oklahoma at home by 15
- TCU on the road by 18
- Texas Tech on the road by 8
Losses:
- None
3. Villanova (8-1)
Key Wins:
- Arizona State on a neutral court by 9
- Texas on the road by 4
- Marquette on the road by 17
Losses:
- Virginia Tech on a neutral court by 8 in OT
4. Iowa (12-2)
Key Wins:
- North Carolina at home by 13
- Purdue at home by 15
- Rutgers on the road by 2
- Maryland on the road by 22
- Minnesota at home by 15
- Northwestern on the road by 23
Losses:
- Gonzaga on a neutral court by 11
- Minnesota on the road by 7 in OT
5. Michigan (11-1)
Key Wins:
- Penn State at home by 4
- Maryland on the road by 11
- Minnesota at home by 25
- Wisconsin at home by 23
Losses:
- Minnesota on the road by 18
6. Houston (11-1)
Key Wins:
- Texas Tech on a neutral court by 11
- UCF on the road by 9
- SMU on the road by 14
Losses:
- Tulsa on the road by 1
7. Texas (11-2)
Key Wins:
- Davidson on a neutral court by 2
- Indiana on a neutral court by 22
- North Carolina on a neutral court by 2
- Oklahoma State at home by 3
- Kansas on the road by 25
- West Virginia on the road by 2
Losses:
- Villanova at home by 4
- Texas Tech at home by 2
8. Tennessee (10-1)
Key Wins:
- Colorado at home by 9
- Missouri on the road by 20
- Arkansas at home by 5
Losses:
- Alabama at home by 8
9. Ohio State (11-3)
Key Wins:
- Notre Dame on the road by 5
- UCLA at home by 7
- Rutgers at home by 12
- Rutgers on the road by 11
- Illinois on the road by 6
Losses:
- Purdue on the road by 7
- Northwestern on the road by 1
- Minnesota on the road by 17
10. Kansas (10-3)
Key Wins:
- Kentucky on a neutral court by 3
- Creighton at home by 1
- Texas Tech on the road by 1
- West Virginia at home by 14
- TCU on the road by 29
- Oklahoma at home by 4
Losses:
- Gonzaga on a neutral court by 12
- Texas at home by 25
- Oklahoma State on the road by 5
11. Texas Tech (11-4)
Key Wins:
- Oklahoma on the road by 2
- Iowa State on the road by 27
- Texas on the road by 2
Losses:
- Houston on a neutral court by 11
- Kansas at home by 1
- Oklahoma State at home by 5 in OT
- Baylor at home by 8
12. Wisconsin (11-3)
Key Wins:
- Loyola Chicago at home by 14
- Michigan State on the road by 9
- Minnesota at home by 12
- Indiana at home by 7 in 2 OT
- Rutgers on the road by 6
Losses:
- Marquette on the road by 2
- Maryland at home by 6
- Michigan on the road by 23
13. West Virginia (9-4)
Key Wins:
- VCU on a neutral court by 12
- Richmond at home by 16
- Oklahoma State on the road by 3
Losses:
- Gonzaga on a neutral court by 5
- Kansas on the road by 14
- Oklahoma on the road by 4
- Texas at home by 2
14. Alabama (11-3)
Key Wins:
- Providence on a neutral court by 17
- Tennessee on the road by 8
- Florida at home by 15
- Auburn on the road by 4
- Kentucky on the road by 20
- Arkansas at home by 31
Losses:
- Stanford on a neutral court by 18
- Clemson on a neutral court by 8
- Western Kentucky at home by 2
15. Virginia (9-2)
Key Wins:
- Notre Dame on the road by 9
- Boston College on the road by 12
- Clemson on the road by 35
Losses:
- San Francisco on a neutral court by 1
- Gonzaga on a neutral court by 23
16. Creighton (10-3)
Key Wins:
- St. Johns on the road by 18
- Connecticut on the road by 2 in OT
- Providence on the road by 2
- Seton Hall at home by 36
Losses:
- Kansas on the road by 1
- Marquette at home by 5
- Butler on the road by 4 in OT
17. Clemson (9-2)
Key Wins:
- Mississippi State on a neutral court by 11
- Purdue on a neutral court by 11
- Maryland at home by 16
- Alabama on a neutral court by 8
- Florida State at home by 10
- Miami on the road by 1
Losses:
- Virginia Tech on the road by 6
- Virginia at home by 35
18. Illinois (9-5)
Key Wins:
- Duke on the road by 15
- Minnesota at home by 27
- Penn State on the road by 17
- Indiana at home by 9
- Purdue at home by 11
- Northwestern on the road by 25
Losses:
- Baylor on a neutral court by 13
- Missouri on the road by 3
- Rutgers on the road by 3
- Maryland at home by 3
- Ohio State at home by 6
19. Connecticut (7-1)
Key Wins:
- USC on a neutral court by 3
- Marquette on the road by 11
- Butler on the road by 12
- DePaul on the road by 7
Losses:
- Creighton at home by 2 in OT
20. USC (11-2)
Key Wins:
- BYU on a neutral court by 26
- Arizona on the road by 14
- Arizona State on the road by 9
Losses:
- Connecticut on a neutral court by 3
- Colorado at home by 10
21. UCLA (11-2)
Key Wins:
- Colorado at home by 3
- Arizona on the road by State 6 in OT
- Arizona on the road by 5
Losses:
- San Diego State on the road by 15
- Ohio State on the road by 7
22. Oregon (9-2)
Key Wins:
- Seton Hall on a neutral court by 13
- Stanford at home by 17
- Utah on the road by 6
Losses:
- Missouri on a neutral court by 8
- Colorado on the road by 7
23. Minnesota (11-4)
Key Wins:
- Saint Louis at home by 8
- Iowa at home by 7 in OT
- Ohio State at home by 17
- Michigan at home by 18
Losses:
- Illinois on the road by 27
- Wisconsin on the road by 12
- Michigan on the road by 25
- Iowa on the road by 15
24. Oklahoma State (9-3)
Key Wins:
- Marquette on the road by 8
- Wichita State on the road by 3
- Texas Tech on the road by 5 in OT
- Kansas at home by 5
Losses:
- TCU at home by 1
- Texas on the road by 3
- West Virginia at home by 3
25. Colorado (11-3)
Key Wins:
- USC on the road by 10
- Oregon at home by 7
- Utah on the road by 7
- Stanford at home by 13
Losses:
- Tennessee on the road by 9
- Arizona on the road by 14
- UCLA on the road by 3
Also Under Consideration (Alphabetical)
Arizona, Arkansas, Drake, Duke, Florida, Florida State, Indiana, Louisville, Loyola Chicago, LSU, Maryland, Michigan State, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Penn State, Purdue, Richmond, Rutgers, Saint Louis, San Diego State, Seton Hall, Stanford, Utah State, Virginia Tech, Xavier